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Alfredo Silverio Scouting Report (2011)

Los Angeles Dodgers outfield prospect Alfredo Silverio has been selected to play in the 2011 MLB Futures Game on the back of a .323/.344/.576 triple slash line as of this posting. At 24, the Dominican born Silverio has increased his slugging percentage at every full season level, good for third in the Southern League this season.

However, Silverio statistics speak to a level of rawness in his game as exemplified by a 47/10 K/BB ratio in 257 at bats and a stolen base success rate which sits at 9/16. And while this is somewhat typical of Latin American prospects, does Silverio's lack of polish negatively affect his top end projection going forward?
  • Physical specimen in the mold of a young Raul Mondesi
  • Above average athlete; 65 runner on 20/80 scale
  • Excellent forearm and quad development; Nearly maxed out physically?
  • Quiet batting stance; "Walk Away" load
  • Hands move too far back in his load; Causes stiff front forearm
  • Stiff forearm forces bat to drag through the zone
  • Explosive wrists through the strike zone make up for some swing length
  • Consistently out front of pitches; Needs to let ball travel deeper in the zone
  • Tendency to chase low pitches including off-speed
  • Ultra-aggressive; Attacks most every pitch near the strike zone
  • True LF defensively; Poor arm; Lacks instincts to man CF successfully
  • Very hard baserunner; Legged out triple down LF line in game action
  • Gets out of the batter's box especially well on batted balls
  • Should steal more bases with better jumps and instincts
The peaks and valleys in Silverio's game make him a very difficult prospect to scout. On one hand, it's easy to like the power/speed and grade him accordingly. On the other hand, it's just as likely a scout will come to the conclusion Silverio is a little long in the tooth to maximize his natural abilities and will run into a buzzsaw due to a lack of plate discipline should he reach the big league level.

If things break just right, I can see Silverio posting major league numbers similar to Juan Encarnacion who managed a triple slash line of .270/.317/.441 in his injury shortened career. My only hesitation is that Encarnacion was in Detroit for good at 24 while Silverio is still in AA.

A more likely outcome leaves Silverio as a AAAA type who could land a big league job as a 4th outfielder if he was only able to play all three outfield spots in a pinch. Unfortunately, I view him as a defensive liability, even in left field.
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